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To listen to an audio recording of this lecture, click below:

Date: Thursday, Dec. 8, 2016

Time: Membership Social at 7:30
Program at 8:00 p.m.

Location: Coastal Georgia Center, 305 Fahm St. (behind the Visitor's Center) Directions and Map
Access: Open to the public and free for members, students and accompanying family members, educators and active military and their dependents. $10.00 charge for non-members.

Randall G. Schriver

In January 2016, the Republic of China (Taiwan) held an historic vote for President which resulted in a landslide victory for Dr. Tsai Ing-wen. In May, Dr. Tsai was inaugurated as Taiwan’s first woman President, and the second President in Taiwan’s history from the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). The People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership have reacted coolly to Taiwan’s new President. The PRC complains that “independence” remains in the DPP party’s platform and that President Tsai’s refusal to recognize the so-called “1992 consensus” threatens to disrupt stability in Taiwan Strait. As a result, Beijing has already taken some measures to show their displeasure – e.g. suspending cross-strait dialogue, cutting back on tourist visas for Mainland groups to visit Taiwan, and blocking Taiwan’s participation in some international organizations. For her part, President Tsai has tried to show some flexibility, but believes she can only go so far in Beijing’s direction given her own domestic constrains.

What is the forecast for cross-strait stability given the political differences between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait? How much flexibility do Beijing and Taipei really have given the CCP’s public rhetoric and anti-secession law, and Taiwan’s evolving identity and its citizen's growing support for “eventual independence?” How will the growing military capabilities of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) and the shifting military balance in Strait impact the environment? And how will a new U.S. Administration interpret these developments and pursue wise policies given both its long-standing obligations under the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA), as well as its interest in forging a constructive working relationship with the PRC?

Randy Schriver will discuss these recent developments as well as their implications. Randy Schriver is one of five founding partners of Armitage International LLC, a consulting firm that specializes in international business development and strategies. Armitage International incorporated in March 2005. He is also CEO and President of the Project 2049 Institute, a non-profit research organization dedicated to the study of security trend lines in Asia. He is also a Senior Associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Immediately prior to his return to the private sector, he served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs responsible for the PRC, Taiwan, Mongolia, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific Islands. Prior to joining the Asia Bureau, he served for two years as Chief of Staff and Senior Policy Advisor to Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage. He joined the Department of State in March 2001 upon the swearing in of Deputy Secretary Armitage.

Prior to his work at the State Department, he served for four years in the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) as a civil servant. As Senior Country Director for the PRC, Taiwan, and Mongolia in OSD from 1997 to 1998, he was the senior official responsible for the day-to-day management of U.S. bilateral relations with the People's Liberation Army, and the bilateral security & military relationships with Taiwan. Other OSD assignments included Assistant Country Director for the PRC, Taiwan, and Mongolia(1995-97), the Office of Counter Proliferation Policy (1995), and the Commission on Roles and Missions of the Armed Forces (1994). He joined OSD as a Presidential Management Fellow.

Prior to his civilian service, he served as an active duty Navy Intelligence Officer for nearly three years (1989-91). His operational assignments were with Patrol Squadron Four (VP-4), and Special Air Reconnaissance Squadron Three (VQ-3). During his stint with VP-4 he completed a deployment in theater for service in Operation Desert Shield/Desert Storm. After active duty, he served in the Navy Reserves for nine years (1991-2000). In his capacity as a reserve officer he completed active duty for training assignments as a Special Assistant to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff (1999), and as an attaché at the U.S. Embassy Beijing (1997) and U.S. Embassy Ulaanbaatar (1996).

His political experience includes service as Foreign Policy Director for the Huntsman for President Campaign (2011-12), a foreign policy advisor on the McCain for President Campaign (2008), on the Bush-Cheney Defense Transition Team (2000-01), and work on the 2000 Bush-Cheney campaign as a member of the Asia Policy Team. Previously he served in both the Washington and district offices of Representative Denny Smith (R-OR) where he worked on defense and military issues (1987). 

Mr. Schriver has won numerous military and civilian awards from the U.S. government, and was presented with the Order of the Propitious Clouds by the President of Taiwan for service while at the State Department promoting U.S.-Taiwan relations.

He hails from the state of Oregon. He holds a master degree in public policy from Harvard University (1994), and received a B.A. in history from Williams College (1989). He was a four-year varsity college tennis player, and has completed four triathlons. He teaches a foreign policy course for Stanford University's Stanford-in-Washington program. He serves on the Board of Advisors of the Center for a New American Security, and the Board of Directors of the U.S.-Taiwan Business council. He is a lifetime member of the Veterans of Foreign Wars.  He is married to the former Ms. Jordan Bredholt, and they have a son named Lucas, a daughter named Rory, a son named Brody, and a daughter named Meilani.

Sponsor of this Program - Planters Inn on Reynolds Square

There are other hotels in Savannah, GA but there isn’t another boutique hotel that offers the extravagant amenities, elegantly appointed rooms and classic historic location that you’ll find at The Planters Inn. When it comes to a fine hotel in a magical setting it’s hard to do better than the Planters Inn.

The hotel is conveniently located in the historic district and is close to many historic and culturally significant points of interest, including the Telfair Museum of the Arts, Juliette Gordon Low House, River Street and City Market and The Olde Pink House Restaurant. Whether you’re a guest for a weekend of romance, to attend a social event or for business, you won’t be disappointed by The Planters Inn in Savannah, Georgia.

The Savannah Council on World Affairs is grateful for their support.


Upcoming Programs

February 16, 2017 - Nuclear Deterrence And President Trump

March 16, 2017 - Bangladesh: A Political History Since Independence

April 27, 2017 - The U.S. and NATO Under New Leadership

May 11, 2017 - Drug Trafficking and International Security